Study Says Direct Sales to Increase Enormously by 2010

Sales of products and services delivered directly to the home (Consumer Direct) will realize enormous gains by 2010, and may account for as much as 24% of all retail sales, according to a new study released by Peppers and Rogers Group and California-based Institute for the Future.

Among the findings of the study, it is predicted that by the year 2010, the number of households using e-commerce and grocery-delivery services regularly will rise dramatically from 6 million today to 29 million.

Consumer Direct (CD) revenue for both products and services will account for between $438 billion and $1.1 trillion, compared with $190 billion for 1998. The percentage of households using traditional CD channels (mail and catalogs) use will drop to 50%, from 67% today

Businesses will become one-to-one enterprises and develop systems to capture what they learn about a single shopper across all delivery channels–in stores, through catalogs and the Internet–and personalize their response to individual customer interactions, according to the study.